Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies
All Oklahoma City Thunder predictions · All Memphis Grizzlies predictions
NBA · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 8:12 PM · Final: 128-97
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -160 | +135 |
| BetRivers | -177 | +143 |
| DraftKings | -174 | +146 |
| ESPN BET | -175 | +150 |
| Fanatics | -165 | +135 |
| FanDuel | -164 | +138 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -175 | +145 |
| Novig | -144 | +141 |
| Caesars | -170 | +143 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Thunder | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −3.5 -115 | +3.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | −3.5 -118 | +3.5 -105 |
| DraftKings | −4.5 -104 | +4.5 -117 |
| ESPN BET | −3.5 -115 | +3.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | −4 -110 | +4 -110 |
| FanDuel | −4.5 -106 | +4.5 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −4.5 -105 | +4.5 -115 |
| Caesars | −4 -105 | +4 -115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 224.5 -110 | 224.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 224.5 -113 | 224.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 224.5 -113 | 224.5 -107 |
| ESPN BET | 224.5 -115 | 224.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 224.5 -110 | 224.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 223.5 -114 | 223.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 224.5 -110 | 224.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 224.5 -105 | 224.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 59.0% | 40.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 60.8% | 39.2% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.