Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

St Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

All St Louis Blues predictions · All Nashville Predators predictions

NHL · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 1:08 PM · Final: 1-3

The model's call
Nashville Predators to win
Model confidence 50.0%
Books consensus 50.0%
Result Nashville Predators won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book St Louis BluesNashville Predators
BetMGM -110 -110
BetRivers -112 -107
DraftKings -110 -110
ESPN BET -110 -110
Fanatics -110 -110
FanDuel -110 -110
Hard Rock Bet -115 -115
Novig -108 +106
Caesars -113 -106

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Blues −1.5
priced 29.8% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
Nashville Predators covered +1.5
Total · closing
O/U 5.5
priced 52.2% over · 8 books
Under 5.5 (4 scored)
Spread by book BluesPredators
BetMGM +1.5 -275 −1.5 +220
BetRivers −1.5 +225 +1.5 -295
DraftKings −1.5 +220 +1.5 -270
ESPN BET −1.5 +220 +1.5 -325
Fanatics −1.5 +210 +1.5 -270
FanDuel +1.5 -265 −1.5 +210
Hard Rock Bet −1.5 +210 +1.5 -325
Caesars −1.5 +220 +1.5 -275
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 5.5 -120 5.5 +100
BetRivers 5.5 -127 5.5 +102
DraftKings 5.5 -122 5.5 +102
ESPN BET 5.5 -120 5.5 +100
Fanatics 5.5 -120 5.5 +100
FanDuel 5.5 -118 5.5 -104
Hard Rock Bet 5.5 -120 5.5 +100
Caesars 5.5 -123 5.5 +103

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue St Louis BluesNashville Predators
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 50.0% 50.0%
Best book price incl. vig 51.9% 48.5%
Kalshi contract price 51.5% 48.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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