Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes

All Chicago Blackhawks predictions · All Carolina Hurricanes predictions

NHL · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:09 PM · Final: 2-9

The model's call
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Model confidence 78.7%
Books consensus 78.7%
Result Carolina Hurricanes won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Chicago BlackhawksCarolina Hurricanes
BetMGM +360 -475
BetRivers +375 -500
DraftKings +340 -440
ESPN BET +340 -450
Fanatics +340 -450
FanDuel +350 -465
Hard Rock Bet +325 -475
Novig +388 -413
Caesars +350 -460

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Hurricanes −2.5
priced 48.4% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Hurricanes −1.5
Carolina Hurricanes covered −2.5
Total · closing
O/U 6.5
priced 46.8% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
Over 6.5 (11 scored)
Spread by book BlackhawksHurricanes
BetMGM +2.5 -115 −2.5 -105
BetRivers +1.5 +143 −1.5 -180
DraftKings +1.5 +145 −1.5 -175
ESPN BET +2.5 -120 −2.5 +100
Fanatics +2.5 -115 −2.5 -105
FanDuel +1.5 +148 −1.5 -184
Hard Rock Bet +2.5 -120 −2.5 +100
Caesars +2.5 -117 −2.5 -102
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -120 6 +100
BetRivers 6.5 -106 6.5 -118
DraftKings 6.5 +102 6.5 -122
ESPN BET 6.5 +105 6.5 -125
Fanatics 6.5 +105 6.5 -125
FanDuel 6.5 +106 6.5 -130
Hard Rock Bet 6.5 +105 6.5 -130
Caesars 6 -127 6 +103

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue Chicago BlackhawksCarolina Hurricanes
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 21.3% 78.7%
Best book price incl. vig 20.5% 80.5%
Kalshi contract price 19.9% 80.1%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record