Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche

All Detroit Red Wings predictions · All Colorado Avalanche predictions

NHL · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:13 PM · Final: 0-4

The model's call
Colorado Avalanche to win
Model confidence 66.4%
Books consensus 66.4%
Result Colorado Avalanche won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Detroit Red WingsColorado Avalanche
BetMGM +185 -225
BetRivers +195 -240
DraftKings +185 -225
ESPN BET +190 -225
Fanatics +180 -220
FanDuel +180 -220
Hard Rock Bet +180 -250
Novig +190 -199
Caesars +190 -230

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Avalanche −1.5
priced 44.8% to cover · 8 books
Colorado Avalanche covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 6.5
priced 48.9% over · 8 books
Under 6.5 (4 scored)
Spread by book Red WingsAvalanche
BetMGM +1.5 -130 −1.5 +110
BetRivers +1.5 -134 −1.5 +107
DraftKings +1.5 -135 −1.5 +114
ESPN BET +1.5 -135 −1.5 +115
Fanatics +1.5 -140 −1.5 +115
FanDuel +1.5 -140 −1.5 +114
Hard Rock Bet +1.5 -145 −1.5 +115
Caesars +1.5 -127 −1.5 +110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6.5 -105 6.5 -115
BetRivers 6.5 -107 6.5 -117
DraftKings 6.5 -102 6.5 -118
ESPN BET 6.5 +100 6.5 -120
Fanatics 6.5 -105 6.5 -115
FanDuel 6.5 -106 6.5 -114
Hard Rock Bet 6.5 -105 6.5 -115
Caesars 6.5 -105 6.5 -120

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue Detroit Red WingsColorado Avalanche
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 33.6% 66.4%
Best book price incl. vig 33.9% 66.6%
Kalshi contract price 33.5% 66.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record