Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers
All Denver Nuggets predictions · All Indiana Pacers predictions
NBA · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:13 PM · Final: 114-102
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -325 | +260 |
| BetRivers | -286 | +225 |
| DraftKings | -324 | +261 |
| ESPN BET | -320 | +260 |
| Fanatics | -320 | +250 |
| FanDuel | -320 | +260 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -325 | +260 |
| Novig | -277 | +270 |
| Caesars | -335 | +260 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Nuggets | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −8.5 -105 | +8.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | −7.5 -112 | +7.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | −8.5 -103 | +8.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | −7.5 -115 | +7.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | −8 -110 | +8 -110 |
| FanDuel | −7.5 -122 | +7.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −8.5 -105 | +8.5 -115 |
| Caesars | −8 -110 | +8 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 229.5 -110 | 229.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 230.5 -112 | 230.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 229.5 -107 | 229.5 -113 |
| ESPN BET | 229.5 -105 | 229.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 229.5 -110 | 229.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 229.5 -105 | 229.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 229.5 -110 | 229.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 229 -115 | 229 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 73.5% | 27.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 73.5% | 26.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.