Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder
All Washington Wizards predictions · All Oklahoma City Thunder predictions
NBA · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:11 PM · Final: 75-114
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Washington Wizards | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +475 | -650 |
| BetRivers | +480 | -715 |
| DraftKings | +458 | -620 |
| ESPN BET | +450 | -700 |
| Fanatics | +460 | -650 |
| FanDuel | +480 | -650 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +500 | -700 |
| Novig | +488 | -525 |
| Caesars | +460 | -650 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Wizards | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +12.5 -110 | −12.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | +13.5 -120 | −13.5 -104 |
| DraftKings | +12.5 -110 | −12.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +12.5 -115 | −12.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +12.5 -110 | −12.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +12.5 -112 | −12.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +12.5 -110 | −12.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +12.5 +100 | −12.5 -120 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 224.5 -110 | 224.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 223.5 -114 | 223.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | 224.5 -108 | 224.5 -111 |
| ESPN BET | 223.5 -115 | 223.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 224.5 -110 | 224.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 224.5 -110 | 224.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 223.5 -115 | 223.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 225 -110 | 225 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Washington Wizards | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 16.8% | 83.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 16.7% | 84.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 16.5% | 83.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.