Minnesota Golden Gophers at Penn State Nittany Lions
All Minnesota Golden Gophers predictions · All Penn State Nittany Lions predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM
The model's call
Penn State Nittany Lions to win
Model confidence 74.8%
Books consensus 74.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Penn State Nittany Lions |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +290 | -350 |
| BetRivers | +275 | -375 |
| DraftKings | +280 | -355 |
| ESPN BET | +290 | -380 |
| Fanatics | +275 | -350 |
| FanDuel | +280 | -350 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +275 | -375 |
| Novig | +292 | -317 |
| Caesars | +265 | -335 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Penn State −9.5
priced 49.9% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened Penn State −8.5
Total
O/U 42.5
priced 49.7% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
| Spread by book | Minnesota | Penn State |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +9.5 -110 | −9.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | +9.5 -112 | −9.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | +9.5 -112 | −9.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | +9.5 -115 | −9.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +9.5 -110 | −9.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +8.5 -110 | −8.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +9.5 -110 | −9.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +9 -108 | −9 -113 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 42.5 -108 | 42.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 42.5 -109 | 42.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 42.5 -105 | 42.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 41.5 -110 | 41.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 42 -110 | 42 -110 |
| FanDuel | 41.5 -120 | 41.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 42 -109 | 42 -110 |
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