Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls
All Memphis Tigers predictions · All South Florida Bulls predictions
College Football · Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM
The model's call
Memphis Tigers to win
Model confidence 61.2%
Books consensus 61.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Memphis Tigers | South Florida Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -175 | +145 |
| BetRivers | -195 | +155 |
| DraftKings | -175 | +145 |
| ESPN BET | -175 | +150 |
| Fanatics | -175 | +145 |
| FanDuel | -178 | +150 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -190 | +155 |
| Novig | -160 | +156 |
| Caesars | -173 | +144 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Memphis −3.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened Memphis −6.5
Total
O/U 50.5
priced 49.9% over · 8 books
opened 49.5
| Spread by book | Memphis | South Florida |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −3.5 -108 | +3.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | −4 -112 | +4 -110 |
| DraftKings | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | −3.5 -115 | +3.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −4.5 -105 | +4.5 -115 |
| Caesars | −3.5 -114 | +3.5 -106 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 50.5 -108 | 50.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 50.5 -112 | 50.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 50.5 -108 | 50.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 50.5 -105 | 50.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 50.5 -106 | 50.5 -114 |
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.