Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns at UL Monroe Warhawks

All Louisiana Ragin Cajuns predictions · All UL Monroe Warhawks predictions

College Football · Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 9:00 PM

The model's call
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns to win
Model confidence 77.6%
Books consensus 77.6%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Louisiana Ragin CajunsUL Monroe Warhawks
BetMGM -400 +320
BetRivers -480 +340
DraftKings -395 +310
ESPN BET -425 +320
Fanatics -425 +325
FanDuel -430 +330
Hard Rock Bet -475 +350
Novig -365 +355
Caesars -420 +330

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Louisiana −10.5
priced 49.9% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened Louisiana −11.5
Total
O/U 48.5
priced 50.5% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened 49.5
Spread by book LouisianaUL Monroe
BetMGM −10.5 -108 +10.5 -112
BetRivers −11 -112 +11 -112
DraftKings −10.5 -108 +10.5 -112
ESPN BET −10.5 -115 +10.5 -105
Fanatics −10.5 -105 +10.5 -115
FanDuel −10.5 -110 +10.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −10.5 -115 +10.5 -105
Caesars −10.5 -109 +10.5 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 48.5 -112 48.5 -105
BetRivers 48.5 -113 48.5 -110
DraftKings 48.5 -115 48.5 -105
ESPN BET 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
Fanatics 49 -110 49 -110
FanDuel 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
Caesars 49.5 -105 49.5 -115
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