Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh Panthers

All Florida State Seminoles predictions · All Pittsburgh Panthers predictions

College Football · Friday, November 13, 2026 · 7:00 PM

The model's call
Pittsburgh Panthers to win
Model confidence 60.2%
Books consensus 60.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Florida State SeminolesPittsburgh Panthers
BetMGM +140 -165
BetRivers +140 -175
DraftKings +142 -170
ESPN BET +140 -165
Fanatics +140 -170
FanDuel +134 -160
Hard Rock Bet +140 -170
Novig +153 -156
Caesars +141 -170

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Pittsburgh −3.5
priced 49.7% to cover · 8 books
Total
O/U 53.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
Spread by book Florida StatePittsburgh
BetMGM +3.5 -110 −3.5 -108
BetRivers +3.5 -109 −3.5 -114
DraftKings +3.5 -112 −3.5 -108
ESPN BET +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
Fanatics +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
FanDuel +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
Caesars +3.5 -114 −3.5 -106
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 53.5 -108 53.5 -112
BetRivers 53.5 -112 53.5 -112
DraftKings 53.5 -108 53.5 -112
ESPN BET 53.5 -105 53.5 -115
Fanatics 53.5 -110 53.5 -110
FanDuel 53.5 -110 53.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 53.5 -110 53.5 -110
Caesars 53.5 -112 53.5 -109
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