Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Houston Cougars at Colorado Buffaloes

All Houston Cougars predictions · All Colorado Buffaloes predictions

College Football · Friday, November 13, 2026 · 10:15 PM

The model's call
Houston Cougars to win
Model confidence 76.4%
Books consensus 76.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Houston CougarsColorado Buffaloes
BetMGM -375 +300
BetRivers -400 +295
DraftKings -380 +300
ESPN BET -425 +320
Fanatics -400 +310
FanDuel -385 +310
Hard Rock Bet -400 +300
Novig -335 +326
Caesars -400 +305

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Houston −9.5
priced 51.1% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Houston −10.5
Total
O/U 51.5
priced 49.1% over · 8 books
opened 48.5
Spread by book HoustonColorado
BetMGM −9.5 -112 +9.5 -105
BetRivers −9.5 -115 +9.5 -108
DraftKings −10 -105 +10 -115
ESPN BET −10.5 +100 +10.5 -120
Fanatics −9.5 -115 +9.5 -105
FanDuel −9.5 -115 +9.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet −9.5 -115 +9.5 -105
Caesars −10 -107 +10 -113
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 51.5 -105 51.5 -112
BetRivers 51.5 -109 51.5 -113
DraftKings 51.5 -102 51.5 -118
ESPN BET 51.5 -105 51.5 -115
Fanatics 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
FanDuel 51.5 -105 51.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
Caesars 51.5 -105 51.5 -115
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