Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs

All Auburn Tigers predictions · All Mississippi State Bulldogs predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
Auburn Tigers to win
Model confidence 56.4%
Books consensus 56.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Auburn TigersMississippi State Bulldogs
BetMGM -145 +120
BetRivers -132 +107
DraftKings -142 +120
ESPN BET -145 +125
Fanatics -140 +115
FanDuel -146 +122
Hard Rock Bet -130 +105
Novig -130 +127
Caesars -143 +121

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Auburn −2.5
priced 51.4% to cover · 8 books
opened Auburn −3.5
Total
O/U 50.5
priced 50.0% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened 49.5
Spread by book AuburnMississippi State
BetMGM −2.5 -118 +2.5 -102
BetRivers −2.5 -113 +2.5 -110
DraftKings −2.5 -115 +2.5 -105
ESPN BET −2.5 -115 +2.5 -105
Fanatics −2.5 -120 +2.5 +100
FanDuel −2.5 -120 +2.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet −2.5 -110 +2.5 -110
Caesars −2.5 -121 +2.5 +101
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 50.5 -108 50.5 -110
BetRivers 49.5 -114 49.5 -109
DraftKings 50.5 -110 50.5 -110
ESPN BET 50.5 -110 50.5 -110
Fanatics 50 -110 50 -110
FanDuel 50.5 -110 50.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
Caesars 50.5 -112 50.5 -112
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