Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Wisconsin Badgers at Maryland Terrapins

All Wisconsin Badgers predictions · All Maryland Terrapins predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
Wisconsin Badgers to win
Model confidence 74.4%
Books consensus 74.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Wisconsin BadgersMaryland Terrapins
BetMGM -350 +275
BetRivers -360 +270
DraftKings -345 +275
ESPN BET -340 +270
Fanatics -350 +275
FanDuel -320 +260
Hard Rock Bet -350 +275
Novig -326 +292
Caesars -345 +275

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Wisconsin −8.5
priced 49.5% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened Wisconsin −7.5
Total
O/U 42.5
priced 50.1% over · 8 books
opened 43.5
Spread by book WisconsinMaryland
BetMGM −9 -110 +9 -108
BetRivers −8.5 -109 +8.5 -114
DraftKings −8.5 -108 +8.5 -112
ESPN BET −8.5 -105 +8.5 -115
Fanatics −8.5 -110 +8.5 -110
FanDuel −7.5 -120 +7.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet −8.5 -110 +8.5 -110
Caesars −8.5 -106 +8.5 -114
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 42.5 -108 42.5 -110
BetRivers 42.5 -120 42.5 -104
DraftKings 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
ESPN BET 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
Fanatics 42.5 -115 42.5 -105
FanDuel 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 42.5 -120 42.5 +100
Caesars 42.5 -110 42.5 -109
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