Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores
All Alabama Crimson Tide predictions · All Vanderbilt Commodores predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:45 PM
The model's call
Alabama Crimson Tide to win
Model confidence 86.8%
Books consensus 86.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Alabama Crimson Tide | Vanderbilt Commodores |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -900 | +650 |
| BetRivers | -1000 | +575 |
| DraftKings | -950 | +625 |
| ESPN BET | -1200 | +700 |
| Fanatics | -950 | +650 |
| FanDuel | -900 | +610 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -900 | +575 |
| Novig | -900 | +809 |
| Caesars | -950 | +625 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Alabama −17.5
priced 48.9% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Alabama −19.5
Total
O/U 50.5
priced 49.8% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened 54.5
| Spread by book | Alabama | Vanderbilt |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −17 -110 | +17 -108 |
| BetRivers | −17.5 -112 | +17.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | −17.5 -102 | +17.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | −17.5 -105 | +17.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | −17 -110 | +17 -110 |
| FanDuel | −16.5 -120 | +16.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −17.5 -110 | +17.5 -110 |
| Caesars | −17.5 -104 | +17.5 -117 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 50.5 -108 | 50.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 50.5 -106 | 50.5 -118 |
| DraftKings | 50.5 -108 | 50.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 50.5 -105 | 50.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 50.5 -112 | 50.5 -109 |
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