Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights
All Arizona State Sun Devils predictions · All UCF Knights predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:30 PM
The model's call
UCF Knights to win
Model confidence 59.3%
Books consensus 59.3%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Arizona State Sun Devils | UCF Knights |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +130 | -160 |
| BetRivers | +135 | -167 |
| DraftKings | +136 | -162 |
| ESPN BET | +135 | -155 |
| Fanatics | +135 | -160 |
| FanDuel | +128 | -152 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +135 | -165 |
| Novig | +147 | -153 |
| Caesars | +138 | -164 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
UCF −3.5
priced 47.9% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened UCF −2.5
Total
O/U 48.5
priced 51.1% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened 51.5
| Spread by book | Arizona State | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +3.5 -118 | −3.5 -102 |
| BetRivers | +3 -106 | −3 -117 |
| DraftKings | +3.5 -120 | −3.5 +100 |
| ESPN BET | +3.5 -115 | −3.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +3 -105 | −3 -115 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -120 | −3.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -120 | −3.5 +100 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -120 | −3.5 -102 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 48.5 -117 | 48.5 -107 |
| DraftKings | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 49 -110 | 49 -110 |
| FanDuel | 49.5 -105 | 49.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 49 -110 | 49 -109 |
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