California Golden Bears at Virginia Cavaliers
All California Golden Bears predictions · All Virginia Cavaliers predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:30 PM
The model's call
Virginia Cavaliers to win
Model confidence 77.6%
Books consensus 77.6%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | California Golden Bears | Virginia Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +333 | -425 |
| BetRivers | +335 | -455 |
| DraftKings | +320 | -410 |
| ESPN BET | +320 | -425 |
| Fanatics | +325 | -425 |
| FanDuel | +310 | -385 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +325 | -450 |
| Novig | +355 | -376 |
| Caesars | +330 | -420 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Virginia −10.5
priced 48.9% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Virginia −12.5
Total
O/U 46.5
priced 50.4% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened 47.5
| Spread by book | California | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +10 -110 | −10 -110 |
| BetRivers | +10.5 -110 | −10.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | +10 -108 | −10 -112 |
| ESPN BET | +10.5 -115 | −10.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +10.5 -115 | −10.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +10.5 -120 | −10.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +10.5 -110 | −10.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +10 -106 | −10 -114 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 46.5 -121 | 46.5 -104 |
| DraftKings | 46.5 -112 | 46.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 47 -110 | 47 -110 |
| FanDuel | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 46.5 -120 | 46.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 |
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