Cincinnati Bearcats at Iowa State Cyclones
All Cincinnati Bearcats predictions · All Iowa State Cyclones predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM
The model's call
Iowa State Cyclones to win
Model confidence 57.9%
Books consensus 57.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Cincinnati Bearcats | Iowa State Cyclones |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +130 | -155 |
| BetRivers | +120 | -148 |
| DraftKings | +130 | -155 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +130 | -155 |
| FanDuel | +128 | -152 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +120 | -145 |
| Novig | +135 | -141 |
| Caesars | +131 | -154 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Iowa State −3
priced 50.1% to cover · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened Iowa State −1.5
Total
O/U 59.5
priced 50.3% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened 60.5
| Spread by book | Cincinnati | Iowa State |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +3 -108 | −3 -110 |
| BetRivers | +2.5 -104 | −2.5 -121 |
| DraftKings | +3 -110 | −3 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +2.5 +105 | −2.5 -130 |
| Fanatics | +3 -110 | −3 -110 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -120 | −3.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +2.5 +100 | −2.5 -120 |
| Caesars | +3 -109 | −3 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 59.5 -110 | 59.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 59.5 -113 | 59.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 59.5 -112 | 59.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 59.5 -105 | 59.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 60.5 -110 | 60.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 60.5 -110 | 60.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 59.5 -110 | 59.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 59.5 -115 | 59.5 -106 |
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.