Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs
All Kansas State Wildcats predictions · All TCU Horned Frogs predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 2:00 PM
The model's call
TCU Horned Frogs to win
Model confidence 76.8%
Books consensus 76.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Kansas State Wildcats | TCU Horned Frogs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +320 | -400 |
| BetRivers | +310 | -420 |
| DraftKings | +310 | -395 |
| ESPN BET | +360 | -500 |
| Fanatics | +310 | -400 |
| FanDuel | +320 | -410 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +300 | -425 |
| Novig | +344 | -388 |
| Caesars | +295 | -380 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
TCU −10.5
priced 49.7% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened TCU −9.5
Total
O/U 45.5
priced 48.9% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened 46.5
| Spread by book | Kansas State | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +10.5 -110 | −10.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | +10.5 -113 | −10.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | +10.5 -112 | −10.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | +11.5 -110 | −11.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +10.5 -115 | −10.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +10.5 -110 | −10.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +10.5 -110 | −10.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +10.5 -114 | −10.5 -107 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 45.5 -105 | 45.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 45.5 -108 | 45.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | 45.5 -105 | 45.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 44.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 45.5 -105 | 45.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 45.5 -105 | 45.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 45.5 -105 | 45.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 45 -114 | 45 -107 |
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