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Purdue Boilermakers at Iowa Hawkeyes

All Purdue Boilermakers predictions · All Iowa Hawkeyes predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:30 PM

The model's call
Iowa Hawkeyes to win
Model confidence 86.8%
Books consensus 86.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Purdue BoilermakersIowa Hawkeyes
BetMGM +650 -900
BetRivers +600 -1000
DraftKings +600 -900
ESPN BET +600 -1000
Fanatics +650 -950
FanDuel +720 -1050
Hard Rock Bet +600 -1000
Novig +770 -809
Caesars +625 -950

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Iowa −17.5
priced 49.2% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened Iowa −16.5
Total
O/U 47.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
opened 45.5
Spread by book PurdueIowa
BetMGM +17 -108 −17 -110
BetRivers +17.5 -109 −17.5 -114
DraftKings +17.5 -112 −17.5 -108
ESPN BET +17.5 -115 −17.5 -105
Fanatics +17 -110 −17 -110
FanDuel +17.5 -120 −17.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet +17.5 -110 −17.5 -110
Caesars +17.5 -118 −17.5 -102
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 47.5 -110 47.5 -108
BetRivers 47.5 -110 47.5 -113
DraftKings 47.5 -112 47.5 -108
ESPN BET 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
Fanatics 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
FanDuel 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
Caesars 47.5 -106 47.5 -114
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