Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Utah State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs

All Utah State Aggies predictions · All San Diego State Aztecs predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 9:30 PM

The model's call
Utah State Aggies to win
Model confidence 56.9%
Books consensus 56.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Utah State AggiesSan Diego State Aztecs
BetMGM -145 +120
BetRivers -159 +128
DraftKings -142 +120
ESPN BET -145 +125
Fanatics -140 +115
FanDuel -146 +122
Hard Rock Bet -155 +130
Novig -138 +133
Caesars -141 +120

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Utah State −2.5
priced 52.0% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
Total
O/U 42.5
priced 49.7% over · 8 books
Spread by book Utah StateSan Diego State
BetMGM −3 -105 +3 -115
BetRivers −3 -107 +3 -117
DraftKings −2.5 -118 +2.5 -102
ESPN BET −2.5 -120 +2.5 +100
Fanatics −2.5 -115 +2.5 -105
FanDuel −2.5 -120 +2.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet −2.5 -120 +2.5 +100
Caesars −2.5 -115 +2.5 -105
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 42.5 -110 42.5 -108
BetRivers 42.5 -108 42.5 -115
DraftKings 42.5 -108 42.5 -112
ESPN BET 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
Fanatics 42.5 -105 42.5 -115
FanDuel 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 42.5 -105 42.5 -110
Caesars 42.5 -109 42.5 -110
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