Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners

All North Texas Mean Green predictions · All UTSA Roadrunners predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 9:00 PM

The model's call
North Texas Mean Green to win
Model confidence 53.7%
Books consensus 53.7%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book North Texas Mean GreenUTSA Roadrunners
BetMGM -130 +105
BetRivers -137 +112
DraftKings -125 +105
ESPN BET -125 +105
Fanatics -130 +110
FanDuel -122 +102
Hard Rock Bet -135 +110
Novig -120 +115
Caesars -124 +105

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
North Texas −2.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 8 books
opened North Texas −1.5
Total
O/U 76.5
priced 49.3% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
Spread by book North TexasUTSA
BetMGM −2.5 -108 +2.5 -110
BetRivers −2.5 -112 +2.5 -112
DraftKings −2.5 -108 +2.5 -112
ESPN BET −2.5 -110 +2.5 -110
Fanatics −2.5 -110 +2.5 -110
FanDuel −2.5 -110 +2.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −2.5 -110 +2.5 -110
Caesars −2.5 -108 +2.5 -112
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 75.5 -110 75.5 -108
BetRivers 76.5 -110 76.5 -113
DraftKings 76.5 -105 76.5 -115
ESPN BET 76.5 -105 76.5 -115
Fanatics 76 -110 76 -110
FanDuel 75.5 -110 75.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 76.5 -110 76.5 -110
Caesars 76 -112 76 -109
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