Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

James Madison Dukes at UConn Huskies

All James Madison Dukes predictions · All UConn Huskies predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
James Madison Dukes to win
Model confidence 62.6%
Books consensus 62.6%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book James Madison DukesUConn Huskies
BetMGM -190 +155
BetRivers -180 +143
DraftKings -192 +160
ESPN BET -200 +170
Fanatics -190 +155
FanDuel -182 +152
Hard Rock Bet -180 +145
Novig -186 +174
Caesars -190 +159

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
James Madison −4
priced 50.0% to cover · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened James Madison −3.5
Total
O/U 57.5
priced 50.8% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
Spread by book James MadisonUConn
BetMGM −4 -110 +4 -108
BetRivers −3.5 -114 +3.5 -109
DraftKings −4 -110 +4 -110
ESPN BET −4.5 -110 +4.5 -110
Fanatics −4 -110 +4 -110
FanDuel −3.5 -120 +3.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet −3.5 -110 +3.5 -110
Caesars −4 -105 +4 -115
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 57.5 -112 57.5 -105
BetRivers 57.5 -110 57.5 -113
DraftKings 57.5 -115 57.5 -105
ESPN BET 58.5 -110 58.5 -110
Fanatics 57.5 -110 57.5 -110
FanDuel 57.5 -115 57.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet 57.5 -110 57.5 -110
Caesars 57.5 -114 57.5 -106
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