Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ers

All East Carolina Pirates predictions · All Charlotte 49ers predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 1:00 PM

The model's call
East Carolina Pirates to win
Model confidence 79.2%
Books consensus 79.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book East Carolina PiratesCharlotte 49ers
BetMGM -475 +375
BetRivers -500 +350
DraftKings -455 +350
ESPN BET -600 +400
Fanatics -475 +360
FanDuel -520 +390
Hard Rock Bet -500 +350
Novig -413 +400
Caesars -480 +360

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
East Carolina −11.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
Total
O/U 45.5
priced 49.5% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
Spread by book East CarolinaCharlotte
BetMGM −12 -110 +12 -108
BetRivers −11.5 -112 +11.5 -112
DraftKings −11.5 -112 +11.5 -108
ESPN BET −11.5 -110 +11.5 -110
Fanatics −12 -110 +12 -110
FanDuel −12.5 -110 +12.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −11.5 -110 +11.5 -110
Caesars −11.5 -113 +11.5 -107
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 45.5 -105 45.5 -115
BetRivers 45.5 -114 45.5 -109
DraftKings 45.5 -105 45.5 -115
ESPN BET 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
Fanatics 45 -110 45 -110
FanDuel 45.5 +100 45.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet 45.5 -110 45.5 -110
Caesars 45 -112 45 -108
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