New Mexico State Aggies at Missouri State Bears
All New Mexico State Aggies predictions · All Missouri State Bears predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:00 PM
The model's call
Missouri State Bears to win
Model confidence 53.2%
Books consensus 53.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | New Mexico State Aggies | Missouri State Bears |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +100 | -120 |
| BetRivers | +105 | -129 |
| DraftKings | +105 | -125 |
| ESPN BET | -105 | -115 |
| Fanatics | +100 | -120 |
| FanDuel | +104 | -126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +105 | -130 |
| Novig | +108 | -111 |
| Caesars | +109 | -129 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Missouri State −1.5
priced 50.2% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened Missouri State −2.5
Total
O/U 48.5
priced 50.2% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened 49.5
| Spread by book | New Mexico State | Missouri State |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -108 | −1.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | +2 -113 | −2 -109 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -112 | −1.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -105 | −1.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -105 | −1.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -107 | −1.5 -113 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 48.5 -114 | 48.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 48.5 -112 | 48.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 49 -110 | 49 -110 |
| FanDuel | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 49 -112 | 49 -109 |
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