Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames

All Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders predictions · All Liberty Flames predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:30 PM

The model's call
Liberty Flames to win
Model confidence 91.5%
Books consensus 91.5%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersLiberty Flames
BetMGM +1050 -1600
BetRivers +950 -2500
DraftKings +950 -1650
ESPN BET +1100 -2500
Fanatics +1050 -1800
FanDuel +1060 -2000
Hard Rock Bet +1000 -2500
Novig +1233 -1329
Caesars +950 -1700

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Liberty −21
priced 50.0% to cover · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened Liberty −21.5
Total
O/U 53.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
Spread by book Middle TennesseeLiberty
BetMGM +21 -110 −21 -110
BetRivers +20.5 -112 −20.5 -112
DraftKings +21 -110 −21 -110
ESPN BET +21.5 -120 −21.5 +100
Fanatics +21 -110 −21 -110
FanDuel +21.5 -120 −21.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet +20.5 -110 −20.5 -110
Caesars +21 -112 −21 -108
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 53.5 -110 53.5 -108
BetRivers 53.5 -114 53.5 -109
DraftKings 53.5 -108 53.5 -112
ESPN BET 53.5 -110 53.5 -110
Fanatics 53.5 -110 53.5 -110
FanDuel 53.5 -110 53.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 53.5 -110 53.5 -105
Caesars 53.5 -108 53.5 -112
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