Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Nevada Wolf Pack at Northern Illinois Huskies

All Nevada Wolf Pack predictions · All Northern Illinois Huskies predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:30 PM

The model's call
Nevada Wolf Pack to win
Model confidence 70.5%
Books consensus 70.5%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Nevada Wolf PackNorthern Illinois Huskies
BetMGM -275 +220
BetRivers -315 +240
DraftKings -270 +220
ESPN BET -275 +225
Fanatics -280 +225
FanDuel -255 +210
Hard Rock Bet -325 +240
Novig -257 +233
Caesars -280 +225

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Nevada −7
priced 50.0% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Nevada −7.5
Total
O/U 47.5
priced 49.7% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened 46.5
Spread by book NevadaNorthern Illinois
BetMGM −7 -105 +7 -112
BetRivers −7 -115 +7 -108
DraftKings −7 -110 +7 -110
ESPN BET −6.5 -120 +6.5 +100
Fanatics −7 -110 +7 -110
FanDuel −7.5 +110 +7.5 -130
Hard Rock Bet −7.5 +100 +7.5 -120
Caesars −7 -114 +7 -106
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 47.5 -108 47.5 -110
BetRivers 46.5 -118 46.5 -106
DraftKings 47.5 -108 47.5 -112
ESPN BET 47.5 -115 47.5 -105
Fanatics 47.5 -105 47.5 -115
FanDuel 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 46.5 -115 46.5 -105
Caesars 47.5 -103 47.5 -117
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record