Appalachian State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering Herd
All Appalachian State Mountaineers predictions · All Marshall Thundering Herd predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 6:00 PM
The model's call
Appalachian State Mountaineers to win
Model confidence 52.2%
Books consensus 52.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Marshall Thundering Herd |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -120 | +100 |
| BetRivers | -127 | +102 |
| DraftKings | -120 | +100 |
| ESPN BET | -120 | +100 |
| Fanatics | -120 | +100 |
| FanDuel | -120 | +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -125 | +100 |
| Novig | -113 | +106 |
| Caesars | -122 | +104 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Appalachian State −1.5
priced 50.4% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened Appalachian State −2.5
Total
O/U 53.5
priced 50.0% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
| Spread by book | Appalachian State | Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −2 -108 | +2 -110 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -112 | +1.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -114 | +1.5 -106 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 53.5 -110 | 53.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 53.5 -112 | 53.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 54.5 -105 | 54.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 54.5 -105 | 54.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 54 -110 | 54 -110 |
| FanDuel | 53.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 53.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 54 -114 | 54 -106 |
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