Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons

All San Jose State Spartans predictions · All Air Force Falcons predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM

The model's call
Air Force Falcons to win
Model confidence 79.8%
Books consensus 79.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book San Jose State SpartansAir Force Falcons
BetMGM +380 -500
BetRivers +340 -480
DraftKings +360 -470
ESPN BET +380 -550
Fanatics +375 -500
FanDuel +420 -520
Hard Rock Bet +350 -475
Novig +400 -441
Caesars +360 -480

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Air Force −12.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened Air Force −11.5
Total
O/U 47.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
Spread by book San Jose StateAir Force
BetMGM +12 -108 −12 -110
BetRivers +12 -113 −12 -110
DraftKings +12.5 -115 −12.5 -105
ESPN BET +12.5 -110 −12.5 -110
Fanatics +12.5 -110 −12.5 -110
FanDuel +12.5 -110 −12.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +11.5 -110 −11.5 -110
Caesars +12 -110 −12 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 47.5 -110 47.5 -108
BetRivers 47.5 -112 47.5 -112
DraftKings 47.5 -108 47.5 -112
ESPN BET 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
Fanatics 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
FanDuel 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
Caesars 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
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