Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars
All Troy Trojans predictions · All South Alabama Jaguars predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM
The model's call
South Alabama Jaguars to win
Model confidence 58.0%
Books consensus 58.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Troy Trojans | South Alabama Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -145 |
| BetRivers | +125 | -157 |
| DraftKings | +130 | -155 |
| ESPN BET | +130 | -150 |
| Fanatics | +130 | -155 |
| FanDuel | +118 | -140 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +145 | -175 |
| Novig | +135 | -144 |
| Caesars | +128 | -150 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
South Alabama −3
priced 50.0% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened South Alabama −2.5
Total
O/U 55.5
priced 50.4% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened 56.5
| Spread by book | Troy | South Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +3 -110 | −3 -108 |
| BetRivers | +3 -115 | −3 -108 |
| DraftKings | +3 -108 | −3 -112 |
| ESPN BET | +3.5 -115 | −3.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +3 -110 | −3 -110 |
| FanDuel | +2.5 +100 | −2.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -130 | −3.5 +110 |
| Caesars | +3 -108 | −3 -112 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 56.5 -105 | 56.5 -112 |
| BetRivers | 55.5 -113 | 55.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 55.5 -112 | 55.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 56.5 -110 | 56.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 56 -110 | 56 -110 |
| FanDuel | 55.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 55.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 55.5 -115 | 55.5 -105 |
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