UNLV Rebels at New Mexico Lobos
All UNLV Rebels predictions · All New Mexico Lobos predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:30 PM
The model's call
New Mexico Lobos to win
Model confidence 83.5%
Books consensus 83.5%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | UNLV Rebels | New Mexico Lobos |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +450 | -600 |
| BetRivers | +510 | -835 |
| DraftKings | +440 | -600 |
| ESPN BET | +475 | -750 |
| Fanatics | +475 | -650 |
| FanDuel | +500 | -690 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +500 | -750 |
| Novig | +525 | -567 |
| Caesars | +425 | -590 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
New Mexico −14
priced 50.2% to cover · 3 books, 5 on another number
Total
O/U 46.5
priced 51.1% over · 8 books
opened 47.5
| Spread by book | UNLV | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +14 -108 | −14 -110 |
| BetRivers | +15 -112 | −15 -112 |
| DraftKings | +14 -110 | −14 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +13.5 +100 | −13.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | +14.5 -115 | −14.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +14.5 -110 | −14.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +15.5 -110 | −15.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +14 -108 | −14 -112 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 46.5 -118 | 46.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 46.5 -113 | 46.5 -107 |
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