Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks
All Indiana Pacers predictions · All Dallas Mavericks predictions
NBA · Monday, November 9, 2026 · 8:11 PM · Final: 122-125
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| BetRivers | +160 | -195 |
| DraftKings | +160 | -191 |
| ESPN BET | +160 | -190 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +162 | -194 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +165 | -200 |
| Novig | +167 | -170 |
| Caesars | +162 | -195 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Pacers | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +4.5 -105 | −4.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | +4.5 -108 | −4.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | +4.5 -105 | −4.5 -116 |
| ESPN BET | +4.5 -105 | −4.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | +4.5 -105 | −4.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | +4.5 -106 | −4.5 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +4.5 -105 | −4.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +5 -110 | −5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 228.5 -107 | 228.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 227.5 -105 | 227.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 227.5 -108 | 227.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 228 -110 | 228 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 36.9% | 63.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 37.5% | 63.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.