Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators
All Washington Capitals predictions · All Ottawa Senators predictions
NHL · Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 7:08 PM · Final: 3-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Washington Capitals | Ottawa Senators |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -115 | -105 |
| BetRivers | -110 | -108 |
| DraftKings | -118 | -102 |
| ESPN BET | -110 | -110 |
| Fanatics | -115 | -105 |
| FanDuel | -118 | -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -120 | -110 |
| Novig | -111 | +108 |
| Caesars | -121 | -102 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Capitals | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +200 | +1.5 -250 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -305 | −1.5 +230 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +220 | +1.5 -270 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +220 | +1.5 -325 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +200 | +1.5 -255 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +190 | +1.5 -240 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +200 | +1.5 -300 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +200 | +1.5 -260 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 +102 | 6.5 -125 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -102 | 6.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -104 | 6.5 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Washington Capitals | Ottawa Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 52.4% | 48.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.