Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers
All Oklahoma City Thunder predictions · All Portland Trail Blazers predictions
NBA · Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 11:10 PM · Final: 103-123
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -125 | +105 |
| BetRivers | -120 | -103 |
| DraftKings | -125 | +105 |
| ESPN BET | -125 | +105 |
| Fanatics | -125 | +105 |
| FanDuel | -126 | +108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -130 | +110 |
| Novig | -113 | +111 |
| Caesars | -125 | +105 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Thunder | Trail Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -107 | +1.5 -117 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -111 | +1.5 -109 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -112 | +1.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 226.5 -110 | 226.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 227.5 -115 | 227.5 -107 |
| DraftKings | 226.5 -110 | 226.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 226.5 -110 | 226.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 226.5 -110 | 226.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 226.5 -108 | 226.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 226.5 -110 | 226.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 226.5 -110 | 226.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 53.1% | 47.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.