Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets
All Golden State Warriors predictions · All Houston Rockets predictions
NBA · Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · 9:42 PM
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +200 | -250 |
| BetRivers | +210 | -265 |
| DraftKings | +205 | -249 |
| ESPN BET | +200 | -240 |
| Fanatics | +200 | -245 |
| FanDuel | +205 | -250 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +210 | -260 |
| Novig | +213 | -217 |
| Caesars | +210 | -260 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Warriors | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +6.5 -105 | −6.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +6.5 -108 | −6.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +6.5 -105 | −6.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +6.5 -115 | −6.5 -105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 219.5 -118 | 219.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 219.5 -110 | 219.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 219.5 -112 | 219.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 219.5 -110 | 219.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 219.5 -110 | 219.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 219.5 -110 | 219.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 219.5 -115 | 219.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 220 -110 | 220 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 31.9% | 68.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 31.5% | 68.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.