Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers
All Oklahoma City Thunder predictions · All Portland Trail Blazers predictions
NBA · Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · 10:13 PM
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 |
| BetRivers | +123 | -150 |
| DraftKings | +124 | -147 |
| ESPN BET | +120 | -140 |
| Fanatics | +125 | -150 |
| FanDuel | +124 | -146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +120 | -140 |
| Novig | +135 | -138 |
| Caesars | +122 | -145 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Thunder | Trail Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | +2.5 -107 | −2.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | +2.5 -106 | −2.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | +2.5 -110 | −2.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +3 -110 | −3 -110 |
| FanDuel | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +2.5 -110 | −2.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +3 -110 | −3 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 224.5 -110 | 224.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 224.5 -110 | 224.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 224.5 -112 | 224.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 224.5 -110 | 224.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 224.5 -110 | 224.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 224.5 -114 | 224.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 224.5 -115 | 224.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 223.5 -120 | 223.5 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 42.6% | 58.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 42.5% | 57.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.