Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken

All Carolina Hurricanes predictions · All Seattle Kraken predictions

NHL · Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Model confidence 71.8%
Books consensus 71.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Carolina HurricanesSeattle Kraken
BetMGM -300 +240
BetRivers -305 +245
DraftKings -290 +235
ESPN BET -290 +240
Fanatics -300 +240
FanDuel -285 +230
Hard Rock Bet -325 +250
Novig -270 +264
Caesars -280 +230

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Hurricanes −1.5
priced 51.1% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 6.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
Spread by book HurricanesKraken
BetMGM −2.5 +125 +2.5 -150
BetRivers −1.5 -120 +1.5 -105
DraftKings −1.5 -112 +1.5 -108
ESPN BET −1.5 -125 +1.5 +105
Fanatics −1.5 -115 +1.5 -105
FanDuel −1.5 -114 +1.5 -114
Hard Rock Bet −1.5 -130 +1.5 +105
Caesars −1.5 -110 +1.5 -107
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6.5 -110 6.5 -110
BetRivers 6.5 -109 6.5 -113
DraftKings 6.5 -112 6.5 -108
ESPN BET 6.5 -110 6.5 -110
Fanatics 6.5 -110 6.5 -110
FanDuel 6.5 -110 6.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 6.5 -110 6.5 -110
Caesars 6.5 -109 6.5 -113

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Carolina HurricanesSeattle Kraken
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 71.8% 28.2%
Best book price incl. vig 73.0% 27.5%
Kalshi contract price 72.5% 27.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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