Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
All Kansas City Royals predictions · All Detroit Tigers predictions
MLB · Friday, July 24, 2026 · 6:41 PM · Final: 1-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +220 | -275 |
| BetRivers | +225 | -265 |
| DraftKings | +218 | -272 |
| ESPN BET | +220 | -270 |
| Fanatics | +210 | -260 |
| FanDuel | +225 | -275 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +220 | -275 |
| Caesars | +215 | -267 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Royals | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 +100 | −1.5 -120 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -106 | −1.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 +100 | −1.5 -120 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -105 | −1.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 +100 | −1.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -102 | −1.5 -118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 +100 | −1.5 -120 |
| Caesars | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -125 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -120 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -104 | 7.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -104 | 7.5 -118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 29.9% | 70.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 30.8% | 72.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 29.5% | 70.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 29.5% | 70.5% |
| Markets average | 29.5% | 70.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.