San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB · Sunday, July 5, 2026 · 7:21 PM · Final: 5-2
The model's call
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Model confidence 66.6%
Books consensus 66.6%
Result San Diego Padres won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Diego Padres | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +185 | -225 |
| BetRivers | +185 | -235 |
| DraftKings | +188 | -231 |
| ESPN BET | +180 | -215 |
| Fanatics | +185 | -225 |
| FanDuel | +188 | -225 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +195 | -240 |
| Caesars | +192 | -235 |
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