Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
All Kansas City Royals predictions · All Detroit Tigers predictions
MLB · Sunday, July 26, 2026 · 1:43 PM · Final: 5-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| BetRivers | +160 | -186 |
| DraftKings | +157 | -192 |
| ESPN BET | +160 | -190 |
| Fanatics | +160 | -195 |
| FanDuel | +160 | -190 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +155 | -190 |
| Caesars | +158 | -190 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Royals | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -125 | −1.5 +105 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -134 | −1.5 +110 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -127 | −1.5 +105 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -130 | −1.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -125 | −1.5 +105 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -130 | −1.5 +108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -130 | −1.5 +110 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 +100 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| BetRivers | 9 -107 | 9 -113 |
| DraftKings | 9 -109 | 9 -111 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -130 | 8.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | 9 -105 | 9 -115 |
| FanDuel | 9 -106 | 9 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -140 | 8.5 +115 |
| Caesars | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 37.2% | 62.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 38.5% | 65.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Markets average | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.