San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
All San Francisco Giants predictions · All San Diego Padres predictions
MLB · Thursday, July 30, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 4-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Francisco Giants | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +145 | -175 |
| BetRivers | +143 | -162 |
| DraftKings | +137 | -166 |
| ESPN BET | +140 | -165 |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 |
| FanDuel | +142 | -168 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +140 | -165 |
| Caesars | +143 | -170 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | San Francisco Giants | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 40.8% | 61.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Markets average | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.