Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies
All Kansas City Royals predictions · All Colorado Rockies predictions
MLB · Friday, July 31, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 1-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Kansas City Royals | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -107 | -107 |
| DraftKings | -108 | -112 |
| ESPN BET | -115 | -105 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -102 | -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +105 | -115 |
| Caesars | -115 | -105 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Royals | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -155 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +143 | +1.5 -177 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -163 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -160 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -165 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +136 | +1.5 -164 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -165 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -155 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 11 -115 | 11 -105 |
| BetRivers | 11 -107 | 11 -112 |
| DraftKings | 11 -110 | 11 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 11.5 +110 | 11.5 -130 |
| Fanatics | 11 -110 | 11 -110 |
| FanDuel | 11.5 +102 | 11.5 -124 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 11.5 -120 | 11.5 +110 |
| Caesars | 11 -115 | 11 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Kansas City Royals | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Markets average | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.