Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies
All Kansas City Royals predictions · All Colorado Rockies predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 1, 2026 · 8:11 PM · Final: 6-12
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Kansas City Royals | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +105 | -125 |
| BetRivers | +104 | -118 |
| DraftKings | +109 | -131 |
| ESPN BET | +110 | -130 |
| Fanatics | +105 | -125 |
| FanDuel | +114 | -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +110 | -120 |
| Caesars | +115 | -135 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Royals | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -170 | −1.5 +140 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -174 | −1.5 +143 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +150 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +145 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -182 | −1.5 +150 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +175 | +1.5 -185 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -170 | −1.5 +143 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 11.5 -110 | 11.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 11.5 -108 | 11.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 11.5 -109 | 11.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 11.5 -110 | 11.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 11.5 -110 | 11.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 11.5 -108 | 11.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 11.5 -105 | 11.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 11.5 -110 | 11.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Kansas City Royals | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 46.5% | 54.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Markets average | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.