San Francisco Giants at Texas Rangers
All San Francisco Giants predictions · All Texas Rangers predictions
MLB · Tuesday, August 4, 2026 · 8:06 PM · Final: 4-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Francisco Giants | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +165 | -200 |
| BetRivers | +165 | -190 |
| DraftKings | +175 | -187 |
| ESPN BET | +165 | -195 |
| Fanatics | +165 | -200 |
| FanDuel | +176 | -190 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +180 | -190 |
| Caesars | +170 | -190 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | San Francisco Giants | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 36.1% | 63.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 35.7% | 65.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 35.1% | 64.8% |
| Polymarket contract price | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| Markets average | 35.3% | 64.7% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.