San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
All San Diego Padres predictions · All Arizona Diamondbacks predictions
MLB · Thursday, August 6, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 5-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Diego Padres | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -108 | -109 |
| DraftKings | -106 | -101 |
| ESPN BET | -105 | -105 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -108 | +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -105 | -105 |
| Caesars | -105 | -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | San Diego Padres | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 51.2% | 50.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Polymarket contract price | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Markets average | 50.2% | 49.7% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.