Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks
All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions · All Arizona Diamondbacks predictions
MLB · Friday, August 7, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 3-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Dodgers | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -190 | +154 |
| BetRivers | -175 | +150 |
| DraftKings | -174 | +162 |
| ESPN BET | -175 | +150 |
| Fanatics | -180 | +150 |
| FanDuel | -172 | +158 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -170 | +160 |
| Caesars | -182 | +167 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Dodgers | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -106 | +1.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -111 | +1.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -114 | +1.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 +100 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| BetRivers | 9 -105 | 9 -115 |
| DraftKings | 9 -113 | 9 -107 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 +115 | 9.5 -135 |
| Fanatics | 9 -115 | 9 -105 |
| FanDuel | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 +120 | 9.5 -130 |
| Caesars | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Dodgers | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 63.0% | 37.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Polymarket contract price | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Markets average | 61.7% | 38.3% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.