Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots

NFL preseason · Thursday, August 13, 2026 · 7:30 PM

The model's call
New England Patriots to win
Model confidence 55.1%
Books consensus 55.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Indianapolis ColtsNew England Patriots
BetRivers +114 -137
DraftKings +114 -135
FanDuel +114 -134
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