Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks
All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions · All Arizona Diamondbacks predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 8, 2026 · 8:11 PM · Final: 2-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Dodgers | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -210 | +170 |
| BetRivers | -195 | +170 |
| DraftKings | -192 | +178 |
| ESPN BET | -195 | +165 |
| Fanatics | -205 | +170 |
| FanDuel | -184 | +170 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -185 | +175 |
| Caesars | -203 | +183 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Dodgers | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -121 | +1.5 +101 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -114 | +1.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 +105 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -125 | +1.5 +105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -104 | 8.5 -117 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -104 | 8.5 -116 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -108 | 8.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Dodgers | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 64.8% | 35.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| Markets average | 64.5% | 35.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.