Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers
All Minnesota Twins predictions · All Milwaukee Brewers predictions
MLB · Sunday, August 9, 2026 · 2:10 PM · Final: 3-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Minnesota Twins | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +220 | -275 |
| BetRivers | +225 | -265 |
| DraftKings | +238 | -258 |
| ESPN BET | +220 | -270 |
| Fanatics | +220 | -275 |
| FanDuel | +235 | -260 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +250 | -260 |
| Caesars | +230 | -260 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Twins | Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +1.5 -107 | −1.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 +103 | −1.5 -124 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 +100 | −1.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 +110 | −1.5 -120 |
| Caesars | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -125 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 -118 | 7 -102 |
| BetRivers | 7 -117 | 7 -103 |
| DraftKings | 7 -121 | 7 +100 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -135 |
| Fanatics | 7 -115 | 7 -105 |
| FanDuel | 7 -115 | 7 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -130 |
| Caesars | 7 -115 | 7 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Minnesota Twins | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 29.7% | 70.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 28.6% | 72.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Markets average | 28.5% | 71.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.