Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Dodgers
All Kansas City Royals predictions · All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions
MLB · Wednesday, August 12, 2026 · 10:11 PM · Final: 2-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Kansas City Royals | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +185 | -225 |
| BetRivers | +200 | -230 |
| DraftKings | +201 | -217 |
| ESPN BET | +180 | -215 |
| Fanatics | +185 | -225 |
| FanDuel | +200 | -220 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +200 | -210 |
| Caesars | +196 | -216 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Royals | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -109 | −1.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -111 | −1.5 -109 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -106 | −1.5 -113 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -105 | −1.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| BetRivers | 9 +100 | 9 -120 |
| DraftKings | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 +115 | 9.5 -135 |
| Fanatics | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| FanDuel | 9 -112 | 9 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 +120 | 9.5 -130 |
| Caesars | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Kansas City Royals | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 33.2% | 67.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 32.5% | 67.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 33.5% | 66.5% |
| Markets average | 33.0% | 67.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.