Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars
All Cleveland Browns predictions · All Jacksonville Jaguars predictions
NFL · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 1:03 PM · Final: 10-34
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cleveland Browns | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +350 | -450 |
| BetRivers | +325 | -435 |
| DraftKings | +360 | -470 |
| ESPN BET | +300 | -400 |
| Fanatics | +340 | -450 |
| FanDuel | +340 | -430 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +375 | -500 |
| Caesars | +340 | -460 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Browns | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +9 -105 | −9 -105 |
| BetRivers | +9 -112 | −9 -109 |
| DraftKings | +8.5 -105 | −8.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | +8 -105 | −8 -115 |
| Fanatics | +8.5 -110 | −8.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +8.5 -112 | −8.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +9 -110 | −9 -110 |
| Caesars | +8.5 -108 | −8.5 -112 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 40 -110 | 40 -108 |
| BetRivers | 40 -114 | 40 -107 |
| DraftKings | 40.5 -102 | 40.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 40.5 -105 | 40.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 40.5 -105 | 40.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 40.5 -112 | 40.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 40 -110 | 40 -110 |
| Caesars | 40 -120 | 40 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cleveland Browns | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 21.7% | 78.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 21.1% | 80.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 20.7% | 79.3% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.